Monday, February 23, 2009

Response to American Labor Arbitragers Everywhere

This is a response to an economist who suggested that we weren't really losing many manufacturing jobs and it wasn't a big economic deal to begin with. the guys went on about how we would focus on solid productivity as trumping both massive manufacturing job losses and ewer well paying jobs domestically. Both naive views in my mind so I had to do my best to enlighten the easily convinced:

Less people making less to produce more (productivity) is great for the business owner, but it is not in the best interest of us as a nation. When you forsake the ability to produce labor intensive goods you also give up the ability to innovate in the future and create value accordingly. You give up the ability to add value (however small) at each step in the value chain. You can bet your half baked theory that someone will create significant innovations in autos, machinery and the like at some point and it wont be us

There are universities in China that have majors in things like bra engineering - and they now produce differentiated, value added bras that our wives spend $50 and $60 in Vicki's hush hush. For now that value creation is being split nicely in the retailer's favor but its a matter of time till there are bootlegs available for half that price and it then becomes the beginning of the end of another American company. Once upon a time the brits were good manufacturers and had a strong economy, as were the Germans, as were the Japanese and others. As their manufacturing base lost its luster, so too did the economic growth, and real incomes. These countries became second rate economies where too many battle for too few jobs and wages and standards of living collapse. It isn't long till too few are left who can afford the few things still produced domestically. Don't lose sight of the fact that one's spending is another's revenue. The view that we will retain high value added, high paying jobs is naive. The Chinese, Indian's and Brazilians amogst other now have not only cheap labor, but also knowledge, technology and capital to knock off almost everything. As they do, they will put more U.S. businesses and consumers out of commission.

Of course we are using technology and a better educated, more industrious workforce to produce more efficiently and that much is a good thing. But make no mistake about it, the driving force of much of this is little more than labor arbitrage with unintended consequences that will haunt us for years to come because those jobs arent coming back and we aren't manufacturing jobs to replace them.

Employing more Americans which earn a better living than walmart cashiers and greeters, to produce more goods to sell to everyone else globally is a better economic situation for most Americans and us as a nation in the long run than the opposite scenario. If you agree with that, then you ought to agree that we should be promoting policies designed to encourage investment in manufacturing that creates jobs here instead of doing exactly the opposite

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